I have a hard time believing this as well.
Sadly, I feel that this is true. This year there seems to be very low waitlist movement (might just be due to people not posting on the forum). Its a hard pill to swallow, but I feel that at this point, only a couple of people (anywhere between 1-5) will get an offer. According to statistics, approximately 35-45 people reject their offers every year. No one knows if UBC over invites or not, so it is tough to speculate if 35-45 people get in off the waitlist every year. Looking at these numbers, I thought a lot of us on the waitlist would have a good chance of receiving an offer, but looking a the lack of posts on this form I may have been wrong. It will be really interesting to look at the class of 2024 statistics when they come out and see how different it is this year in comparison to others. I am curious how COVID-19 affected peoples decisions and the fate of the people on the waitlist.
Overall, I feel super frustrated with the lack of information that us "waitlisters" are provided. It's as if UBC is dangling the succulent "fruit of acceptance" in front of us just to torture us. Yet, I like many other still hold on to the hope that UBC will be gracious enough to give it. Over the past 3 weeks, I have kept playing scenarios in my head that I will get an offer, saying to myself that I will get and offer, even dreaming that I got an offer. The constant "what if" feeling still persists, but I have kind of moved on and am looking towards the next cycle. It still stings a little when I think about it, especially since some of my friend got in and I would have loved to be in the same class as them. Hopefully I will be surprised in the next coming weeks, however I am not counting on it. Sorry if this was a long post, but I just wanted to share a bit about how I was feeling.