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Does the ease of acquiring away electives predict specialty competitiveness?


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Hey everyone: 

I know this post is incredibly Type A, but I'm a huge CaRMS data nerd and love digging through specialty competitiveness stats. I am a soon-to-be Med4 and just finished booking all of my electives. I am applying for a specialty that is historically mildly to moderately competitive, but I lucked out this year in getting all of my first-choice away electives (even at historically difficult schools) despite being a rather average applicant. This is absolutely not meant to be a humble brag, rather it made me wonder whether the ease of getting electives in a specialty in any way predicts whether that specialty is in low demand that year. 

I realize that there is no clear answer to this, but wondering if anyone had anecdotal evidence for or against this for the sake of discussion! 

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