CaRMS 2014 Statistics

[supafield]

Not sure if this was mentioned elsewhere, but the last match result statistics are up on their site. Always an interesting read.

 

https://www.carms.ca/en/r-1-match-reports-2014

[hamham]

https://www.carms.ca/assets/upload/Match%20reports/2014%20R-1%20match/EN/Table%202%20-%20Summary%20of%20Match%20Results%20by%20School%20of%20Graduation_English.pdf

 

Hmm... Bad match year for ottawa and dalhousie. ~ 10% of the class went unmatched in both schools. Maybe too many applicants gunning for competitive specialties?

 

Fantastic match year for Queens, with only one unmatched.

[bloh]

Wow, quebec seems to be overtraining the number of physicians relatively speaking.

 

Ontario population = 13.5 million, 748 graduates (excluding ottawa)

Quebec population = 8 million, 669 graduates. (excluding ottawa)

[ChemPetE]

Not sure it this was mentioned elsewhere, but the last match result statistics are up on their site. Always an interesting read.

 

https://www.carms.ca/en/r-1-match-reports-2014

 

Thanks. I'll pull some interesting numbers and trends as I go through them, though this isn't an all encompassing analysis. Any errors are my own. From "R1 First Round Active application counts", 2014 vs 2013 application counts

 

- More psychiatry candidates (260 2014 vs 219 2013)

- More internal medicine candidates (807 2014 vs 748 2013)

- More family medicine candidates (1913 2014 vs 1763 2013)

- More emergency medicine candidates (209 2014 vs 172 2013)

- More plastic surgery candidates (73 2014 vs 57 2013)

- More cardiac surgery candidates (18 2014 vs 12 2013)

- More dermatology candidates (84 2014 vs 67 2013)

- More neurology candidates ( 79 2014 vs 67 2013)

- More paediatric neurology candidates (25 2014 vs 16 2013)

- More nuclear medicine candidates (24 2014 vs 14 2013)

- More PMR candidates (46 2014 vs 39 2013)

- More medical biochemistry candidates (4 2014 vs 1 2013)

 

- About the same radiation oncology candidates (30 2014 vs 31 2013)

- About the same anesthesia candidates (202 2014 vs 202 2013)

- About the same diagnostic radiology candidates (133 2014 vs 134 2014)

- About the same obs/gyn candidates (178 2014 vs 180 2013)

- About the same opthalmology candidates (68 2014 vs 62 2013)

- About the same paediatric candidates candidates (308 2014 vs 297 2013)

- About the same anatomic pathology candidates (43 2014 vs 38 2013)

- About the same general pathology candidates (9 2014 vs 8 2013)

- About the same heme pathology candidates (9 2014 vs 7 2013)

- About the same laboratory medicine candidates (24 2014 vs 24 2013)

- About the same medical genetics candidates (10 2014 vs 9 2013)

- About the same medical microbiology candidates (20 2014 vs 22 2013)

- About the same neuropathology candidates (1 2014 vs 1 2013)

 

- Less vascular surgery candidates (19 2014 vs 28 2013)

- Less general surgery candidates (183 2014 vs 209 2013)

- Less neurosurgery candidates (23 2014 vs 27 2013)

- Less orthopaedic surgery candidates (89 2014 vs 105 2013)

- Less ENT candidates (44 2014 vs 55 2013)

- Less public health candidates (30 2014 vs 37 2013)

- Less urology candidates (53 2014 vs 69 2013)

 

First choice disciplines are more or less congruent with the above trends with the exceptions of the about same number of nuclear medicine candidates choosing it #1, about the same with emergency medicine candidates choosing it #1.

 

EDIT: I've had some requests to amalgamate all data into one spot so people don't have to fish around this topic. I'll duplicate some info below to that end. ralk's post has some very good data which I've included as well.

 

More interesting CMG numbers:

 

- 11 people went unmatched with psychiatry first choice in 2014 compared to 2 in 2013

- 39 people went unmatched with family first choice in 2014 compared to 23 in 2013

- 10 people went unmatched with internal medicine first choice in 2014 compared to 3 in 2013

- 17 people went unmatched with plastic surgery first choice in 2014 compared to 12 in 2013

- 5 people went unmatched with general surgery first choice in 2014 compared to 21 in 2013

- 5 people went unmatched with dermatology first choice in 2014 compared to 0 in 2013

- 14 people went unmatched with anesthesia first choice in 2014 compared to 9 in 2013

- 10 people went unmatched with opthalmology first choice in 2014 compared to 4 in 2013

- 6 people went unmatched with paediatrics first choice in 2014 compared to 11 in 2013

 

 

Total amount of CMG candidates across Canada ranking family medicine first choice is 38.2% in 2014 compared to 36.3% in 2013.

 

Toronto, Calgary, British Columbia, Queen's all filled their family medicine programs 100% first round.

 

Edit: it also appears that family medicine in Edmonton also filled first round with the exception of one spot in Fort McMurray. I'm not sure about where the other vacancies are at for other schools in relation to city vs program.

 

 

https://www.carms.ca/assets/upload/Match%20reports/2014%20R-1%20match/EN/Table%202%20-%20Summary%20of%20Match%20Results%20by%20School%20of%20Graduation_English.pdf

 

Hmm... Bad match year for ottawa and dalhousie. ~ 10% of the class went unmatched in both schools. Maybe too many applicants gunning for competitive specialties?

 

Fantastic match year for Queens, with only one unmatched.

Also compare these tables from 2014: https://www.carms.ca/assets/upload/Match%20reports/2014%20R-1%20match/EN/Table%2045%20-%20Unmatched%20Applicants%20by%20School%20of%20graduation_English.pdf

 

and 2013: https://www.carms.ca/assets/upload/pdfs/2013R1_MatchResults/Table_45_En.pdf

 

First round residency vacancies:

 

- anesthesia 3 2014 vs 1 2013

- cardiac surgery 2 2014 vs 6 2013

- diagnostic radiology 7 2014 vs 1 2013

- family medicine 89 2014 vs 121 2013

- general surgery 5 2014 vs 0 2013

- internal medicine 19 2014 vs 43 2013

- neurology 5 2014 vs 9 2013

- paediatric neurology 1 2014 vs 5 2013

- neurosurgery 2 2014 vs 0 2013

- obs/gyn 0 2014 vs 3 2013

- pyschiatry 27 2014 vs 38 2013

- public health 13 2014 vs 9 2013

- radiation oncology 1 2014 vs 5 2013

 

Ran some numbers, same as I did last year, to get a sense of how well CMGs do at getting their first choice of specialty, depending on the specialty.

 

The following is the percentage of CMGs who chose the following specialty as their first choice, and successfully matched to it in the First Round

 

1 Plastic Surgery 0.473

2 Dermatology 0.492

3 Cardiac Surgery 0.600

4 Emergency Medicine 0.663

5 Ophthalmology 0.679

 

6 Urology 0.721

7 Anesthesiology 0.730

8 Medical Microbiology 0.750

9 Pediatrics 0.769

10 Otolaryngology 0.771

 

11 Vascular Surgery 0.778

12 Obstetrics and Gynecology 0.784

13 Neurosurgery 0.800

14 Public Health and Preventative Medicine 0.818

15 Diagnostic Radiology 0.822

 

16 Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation 0.852

17 General Surgery 0.852

18 Psychiatry 0.857

19 Orthopedic Surgery 0.879

20 Anatomical Pathology 0.909

 

21 Internal Medicine 0.943

22 Family Medicine 0.955

23 Neurology 0.973

24 Neurology - Pediatric 1.000

25 General Pathology 1.000

 

26 Hematological Pathology 1.000

27 Laboratory Medicine 1.000

28 Medical Genetics 1.000

29 Nuclear Medicine 1.000

30 Radiation Oncology 1.000

 

Overall First Choice Match Rate: 0.864

 

Similar stats from last year can be found here.

 

Ignoring the smaller specialties, there's still a few interesting trends. General surgery was much less competitive this year, a dramatic turnaround from last year (though last year appears to be the stronger outlier, not this year). Very competitive year for Derm. Plastics was even harder to match to than last year. Contrary to the rumors, Radiology was about as competitive as last year - at least by this limited metric - though still not very competitive overall. Psychiatry was a bit of a surprise as well, it certainly got more competitive this year!

 

Aside from those, there weren't too many dramatic shifts. Most major specialties got slightly more competitive relative to last year, but not by leaps and bounds. Notably, surgery overall seems slightly less competitive, while primary care and medical specialties (Family, Internal, Peds, Emerg) appear slightly more competitive. However, since the latter specialties are so much bigger than the surgical specialties, it definitely appears as though matching to your first choice was harder this year than last.

 

Looks like the 2014's the first year in 10 years with >90% matched to their first choice discipline (91.4%), that's good!

That number's wrong - not sure how CaRMS got it, but the actual rate was 86.4% for CMGs, about the same as the last few years.

[ChemPetE]

More interesting CMG numbers:

 

- 11 people went unmatched with psychiatry first choice in 2014 compared to 2 in 2013

- 39 people went unmatched with family first choice in 2014 compared to 23 in 2013

- 10 people went unmatched with internal medicine first choice in 2014 compared to 3 in 2013

- 17 people went unmatched with plastic surgery first choice in 2014 compared to 12 in 2013

- 5 people went unmatched with general surgery first choice in 2014 compared to 21 in 2013

- 5 people went unmatched with dermatology first choice in 2014 compared to 0 in 2013

- 14 people went unmatched with anesthesia first choice in 2014 compared to 9 in 2013

- 10 people went unmatched with opthalmology first choice in 2014 compared to 4 in 2013

- 6 people went unmatched with paediatrics first choice in 2014 compared to 11 in 2013

[ArchEnemy]

It's interesting how CARMS chose to group certain specialities either under the broad category of "surgery" or "others" in First Choice Discipline of Active CMGs by Discipline & School of Graduation

[ChemPetE]

Total amount of CMG candidates across Canada ranking family medicine first choice is 38.2% in 2014 compared to 36.3% in 2013.

 

Toronto, Calgary, British Columbia, Queen's all filled their family medicine programs 100% first round.

 

Edit: it also appears that family medicine in Edmonton also filled first round with the exception of one spot in Fort McMurray. I'm not sure about where the other vacancies are at for other schools in relation to city vs program.

[ChemPetE]

It's interesting how CARMS chose to group certain specialities either under the broad category of "surgery" or "others" in First Choice Discipline of Active CMGs by Discipline & School of Graduation

 

Eh, they do that every year. I think it's just a choice to simplify how they present those tables of data. I don't think it means much else other than that.

[ChemPetE]

https://www.carms.ca/assets/upload/Match%20reports/2014%20R-1%20match/EN/Table%202%20-%20Summary%20of%20Match%20Results%20by%20School%20of%20Graduation_English.pdf

 

Hmm... Bad match year for ottawa and dalhousie. ~ 10% of the class went unmatched in both schools. Maybe too many applicants gunning for competitive specialties?

 

Fantastic match year for Queens, with only one unmatched.

 

Also compare these tables from 2014: https://www.carms.ca/assets/upload/Match%20reports/2014%20R-1%20match/EN/Table%2045%20-%20Unmatched%20Applicants%20by%20School%20of%20graduation_English.pdf

 

and 2013: https://www.carms.ca/assets/upload/pdfs/2013R1_MatchResults/Table_45_En.pdf

[ArchEnemy]

Thanks for the detailed analysis ChemPetE!

[ChemPetE]

First round residency vacancies:

 

- anesthesia 3 2014 vs 1 2013

- cardiac surgery 2 2014 vs 6 2013

- diagnostic radiology 7 2014 vs 1 2013

- family medicine 89 2014 vs 121 2013

- general surgery 5 2014 vs 0 2013

- internal medicine 19 2014 vs 43 2013

- neurology 5 2014 vs 9 2013

- paediatric neurology 1 2014 vs 5 2013

- neurosurgery 2 2014 vs 0 2013

- obs/gyn 0 2014 vs 3 2013

- pyschiatry 27 2014 vs 38 2013

- public health 13 2014 vs 9 2013

- radiation oncology 1 2014 vs 5 2013

[ChemPetE]

Thanks for the detailed analysis ChemPetE!

 

No problem. I find CaRMS stats interesting. I apologize to everyone for some inconsistent formatting between posts though, and that some is hard to read in bulk though. I'm glad people are reading through it though

[rmorelan]

No problem. I find CaRMS stats interesting. I apologize to everyone for some inconsistent formatting between posts though, and that some is hard to read in bulk though. I'm glad people are reading through it though

 

Indeed thanks for the summary. It goes to show there are some dynamic aspects of carms - be somewhat careful in using last years day for instance in the current year

[vick001]

Emerg getting a lot more competitive over the past few years?

[move.along]

Top 4 competitive specialities this year:

Ophthal/Derm/Plastics/Emerg

[ArchEnemy]

^d-o-p-e

[ralk]

Ran some numbers, same as I did last year, to get a sense of how well CMGs do at getting their first choice of specialty, depending on the specialty.

 

The following is the percentage of CMGs who chose the following specialty as their first choice, and successfully matched to it in the First Round

 

1 Plastic Surgery 0.473

2 Dermatology 0.492

3 Cardiac Surgery 0.600

4 Emergency Medicine 0.663

5 Ophthalmology 0.679

 

6 Urology 0.721

7 Anesthesiology 0.730

8 Medical Microbiology 0.750

9 Pediatrics 0.769

10 Otolaryngology 0.771

 

11 Vascular Surgery 0.778

12 Obstetrics and Gynecology 0.784

13 Neurosurgery 0.800

14 Public Health and Preventative Medicine 0.818

15 Diagnostic Radiology 0.822

 

16 Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation 0.852

17 General Surgery 0.852

18 Psychiatry 0.857

19 Orthopedic Surgery 0.879

20 Anatomical Pathology 0.909

 

21 Internal Medicine 0.943

22 Family Medicine 0.955

23 Neurology 0.973

24 Neurology - Pediatric 1.000

25 General Pathology 1.000

 

26 Hematological Pathology 1.000

27 Laboratory Medicine 1.000

28 Medical Genetics 1.000

29 Nuclear Medicine 1.000

30 Radiation Oncology 1.000

 

Overall First Choice Match Rate: 0.864

 

Similar stats from last year can be found here.

 

Ignoring the smaller specialties, there's still a few interesting trends. General surgery was much less competitive this year, a dramatic turnaround from last year (though last year appears to be the stronger outlier, not this year). Very competitive year for Derm. Plastics was even harder to match to than last year. Contrary to the rumors, Radiology was about as competitive as last year - at least by this limited metric - though still not very competitive overall. Psychiatry was a bit of a surprise as well, it certainly got more competitive this year!

 

Aside from those, there weren't too many dramatic shifts. Most major specialties got slightly more competitive relative to last year, but not by leaps and bounds. Notably, surgery overall seems slightly less competitive, while primary care and medical specialties (Family, Internal, Peds, Emerg) appear slightly more competitive. However, since the latter specialties are so much bigger than the surgical specialties, it definitely appears as though matching to your first choice was harder this year than last.

[ellorie]

Relatively scary year for psych. Guess we'll see what this next cycle holds...

[Arztin]

eek, I'm totally going to the "gunniest" of all medical schools looks like.

So few people want fam medicine at McGill, and as many people at McGill want surgery as Toronto, although McGill is waaaay smaller.

 

On another note, can anyone tell me where I can find the match rate information for the CCFP-EM year? Is there somewhere I can get that info? It would be greatly appreciated. Thanks. ----------------ok actually I got it now

https://www.carms.ca/en/fm-em-match-reports

[TheBoss]

Looks like the 2014's the first year in 10 years with >90% matched to their first choice discipline (91.4%), that's good!

[ralk]

Looks like the 2014's the first year in 10 years with >90% matched to their first choice discipline (91.4%), that's good!

 

That number's wrong - not sure how CaRMS got it, but the actual rate was 86.4% for CMGs, about the same as the last few years.

[rmorelan]

That number's wrong - not sure how CaRMS got it, but the actual rate was 86.4% for CMGs, about the same as the last few years.

 

where did you get that number from? CARMS has occasionally messed up

[move.along]

Ran some numbers, same as I did last year, to get a sense of how well CMGs do at getting their first choice of specialty, depending on the specialty.

 

The following is the percentage of CMGs who chose the following specialty as their first choice, and successfully matched to it in the First Round

 

1 Plastic Surgery 0.473

2 Dermatology 0.492

3 Cardiac Surgery 0.600

4 Emergency Medicine 0.663

5 Ophthalmology 0.679

 

6 Urology 0.721

7 Anesthesiology 0.730

8 Medical Microbiology 0.750

9 Pediatrics 0.769

10 Otolaryngology 0.771

 

11 Vascular Surgery 0.778

12 Obstetrics and Gynecology 0.784

13 Neurosurgery 0.800

14 Public Health and Preventative Medicine 0.818

15 Diagnostic Radiology 0.822

 

16 Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation 0.852

17 General Surgery 0.852

18 Psychiatry 0.857

19 Orthopedic Surgery 0.879

20 Anatomical Pathology 0.909

 

21 Internal Medicine 0.943

22 Family Medicine 0.955

23 Neurology 0.973

24 Neurology - Pediatric 1.000

25 General Pathology 1.000

 

26 Hematological Pathology 1.000

27 Laboratory Medicine 1.000

28 Medical Genetics 1.000

29 Nuclear Medicine 1.000

30 Radiation Oncology 1.000

 

Overall First Choice Match Rate: 0.864

 

Similar stats from last year can be found here.

 

Ignoring the smaller specialties, there's still a few interesting trends. General surgery was much less competitive this year, a dramatic turnaround from last year (though last year appears to be the stronger outlier, not this year). Very competitive year for Derm. Plastics was even harder to match to than last year. Contrary to the rumors, Radiology was about as competitive as last year - at least by this limited metric - though still not very competitive overall. Psychiatry was a bit of a surprise as well, it certainly got more competitive this year!

 

Aside from those, there weren't too many dramatic shifts. Most major specialties got slightly more competitive relative to last year, but not by leaps and bounds. Notably, surgery overall seems slightly less competitive, while primary care and medical specialties (Family, Internal, Peds, Emerg) appear slightly more competitive. However, since the latter specialties are so much bigger than the surgical specialties, it definitely appears as though matching to your first choice was harder this year than last.

 

 

The Ophthal stat you quoted is in fact a bit lower for 4th year applicants considering that 5-6 spots are annually taken up by fellows (MD+1 research year) who have a 98-100% match.... leaving less spots scattered across the country for the 4th years.

[ralk]

where did you get that number from? CARMS has occasionally messed up

 

Direct calculations from their specialty-by-specialty stats. My total number of participants aligns exactly with theirs, so I don't think it's an error on my part, and my calculations from 2013 line up perfectly with their figures from 2013.

 

Considering the stability of the percentage matching to their first choice specialty over the past decade, I'm fairly certain that they made a mistake on that figure.

[ralk]

The Ophthal stat you quoted is in fact a bit lower for 4th year applicants considering that 5-6 spots are annually taken up by fellows (MD+1 research year) who have a 98-100% match.... leaving less spots scattered across the country for the 4th years.

 

Yes, the numbers are for all CMGs, not just current-year grads, so any discrepancy in match rates between previous-year grads and current-year grads wouldn't show up there. I don't see any CaRMS stats that would let me sort those out, so unless I've missed something, I'll just have to take your word on that.