2020 Waitlist Thread

[MedAcceptMe 3]

1 hour ago, albertamed said:

Just got an offer off the waitlist!!!

what time stamp did your original waitlist letter have and what 4 digit number? "98xx/99xx" and also congrats and are you OOP or IP

[SoldSoulToMED 12]

the 4 numbers you have are your rank. everyone 98X seemed to have jsut been offered from the waitlist 

[kaymala 0]

My number is 98xx and I have not been offered from the waitlist :/ 

[SoldSoulToMED 12]

4 minutes ago, merhanna said:

My number is 9848 and I have not been offered from the waitlist :/ 

IP or OOP? 

 

sorry for the false alarm then. the people I know who just got it were all 98xx

[kaymala 0]

Just now, SoldSoulToMED said:

IP or OOP? 

 

sorry for the false alarm then. the people I know who just got it were all 98xx

I’m IP. What about those you have heard that have gotten an offer - IP or OOP? How many offers have they sent out from the waitlist so far? 

[GreyHairPreMed 11]

I'm a 99xx and I'm IP.  

 

So many unknown variables make this whole process very speculative.  

Congratulations to everyone who has received offers thus far though!!!

 

[SoldSoulToMED 12]

3 minutes ago, kaymala said:

I’m IP. What about those you have heard that have gotten an offer - IP or OOP? How many offers have they sent out from the waitlist so far? 

all IP . 

So its seems that the 130 people are 98xx for conditional waitlist offers and 99xx with 131 for just waitlist. based on the ones i know, its looking like the high 98xx got offers. 

[Premed12345 6]

6 minutes ago, SoldSoulToMED said:

all IP . 

So its seems that the 130 people are 98xx for conditional waitlist offers and 99xx with 131 for just waitlist. based on the ones i know, its looking like the high 98xx got offers. 

I don't think the 98/99xx is related to being 130 or 131. I'm 130 and 99xx (IP, no offer yet).

[SoldSoulToMED 12]

9 minutes ago, Premed12345 said:

I don't think the 98/99xx is related to being 130 or 131. I'm 130 and 99xx (IP, no offer yet).

yea its busted 

[acacna 79]

To echo @SoldSoulToMED, based on our discussion, we have 2 working theories so far. 

1. The waitlist has 100-150 applicants 

The evidence to support this is that all those waitlisted have EVEN numbers ranging from 9800-9898 (50) OR 9900-9998 (50) OR 10000-10098 (50) . So far, we haven't found any waitlister in the 96xx, 97xx. The Waitlist FAQ document is an odd number that is +1 of the Waitlist 4 digit number. So 9898+1 = 9899 is FAQ.pdf 

2. Those with higher numbers, such in the 989x/999x/1009x, are ranked higher on the waitlist 

This is supported by a few members (n=2) with numbers in the high 98xx who have been accepted today.  For example: 9898 rank 1, 9896 rank 2 .... 9998 rank 51, 9996 rank 52 ....10098 rank 101, 10096 rank 102 

Again, these theories are all the products of endless neuroticism, so take them with a grain of salt 

 

 

Edited May 22, 2020 by acacna
updated theories

[stressed656 8]

Just got accepted off the waitlist today and my number also begins with 98!

[SoldSoulToMED 12]

1 minute ago, stressed656 said:

Just got accepted off the waitlist today and my number also begins with 98!

Congratulations ! Were you high 98? 

[stressed656 8]

4 minutes ago, SoldSoulToMED said:

Congratulations ! Were you high 98? 

Thank you! And yes I was! 

[leaflet01 0]

my waitlist letter and faq letter both are 100xx

[acacna 79]

1 minute ago, leaflet01 said:

my waitlist letter and faq letter both are 100xx

are you ip or oop? 

[leaflet01 0]

1 minute ago, acacna said:

are you ip or oop? 

IP

[acacna 79]

6 minutes ago, leaflet01 said:

IP

Interesting. IP waitlist longer than 100 people then. 

[SoldSoulToMED 12]

Just now, acacna said:

Interesting. IP waitlist longer than 100 people then. 

not necessarily, the 98xx may not have started from the bottom. and OOP may be mixed in with us but not confirmed . hope for the best y'all , more than 100 IP on the waitlist seems absurd to me

[leaflet01 0]

13 minutes ago, SoldSoulToMED said:

not necessarily, the 98xx may not have started from the bottom. and OOP may be mixed in with us but not confirmed . hope for the best y'all , more than 100 IP on the waitlist seems absurd to me

given the theories it isnt looking good for me I dont think

[Ohvalleyofplenty 9]

I'm IP and my waitlist letter and faq letter are also both 100xx. Not sure what this means... 

 

[acacna 79]

14 minutes ago, leaflet01 said:

given the theories it isnt looking good for me I dont think

Not looking very good for me either. At least it gives a sense of closure. Having some hope is more painful than no hope at all :/ 

If those that are accepted could kindly share their 4 digit # or an estimate of it, it would greatly help us confirm this theory. 

[albertaapplicant1 7]

Do we have any guesses as to how far down the waitlist will go/ how deep in to which group they will send offers based on the last few years numbers?

[SoldSoulToMED 12]

15 hours ago, albertaapplicant1 said:

Do we have any guesses as to how far down the waitlist will go/ how deep in to which group they will send offers based on the last few years numbers?

no idea, we still need to see the numbers of some more people accepted from the waitlist to truly have an idea if the theory is strictly followed. There may be exceptions. Im hoping some people get accepted today but i wouldn't put my money on it. We are probably looking at after Monday and reasonably into June. 

[acacna 79]

imo these are drivers waitlist movement:

1- # of people offered at both U of A & U of C. This number probably changes from year to year. I imagine some 50-100 people are offered at both schools. Also, depends on how many of these people end up choosing U of C over U of A.

2- # of people that take their name off waitlist. There's some people that are accepted at U of C or other schools, but they remain waitlisted at U of A. When they remove their name, waitlist moves.

3- depends if U of A over offers like U of C does. I want to think U of A doesnt because they've already sent additional offers last week.

4- # of unfilled OOP seats. This is determined by the nature of the OOP applicants i.e how many acceptances they have and how much they prefer U of A over other schools.

According to AFMC data, an average of 55 offer declines at U of A over past 4 years. So I'm sure the top 50 waitlisted will be offered. But depending on the above factors, waitlist probably can go deeper. Sadly, U of A never reveals how deep they go. The only good news is that at U of C last year, they offered people into the 90s from 148 people on waitlist. For their class of 135, 200 initial offers. 60 initial declines. 60 offers to waitlist. 32 declines from waitlist. 30 people removed name from waitlist = waitlist reaches 90. We can only hope the something similar happens this year at U of A...

#endpostmidnightrant

Edited May 24, 2020 by acacna

[albertaapplicant1 7]

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