Jump to content
Premed 101 Forums

UOttawa Medical School Accepted/Waitlist 2021


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 478
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Hi everyone!!    After much contemplation I’ve decided to decline my offer. Hopefully this news makes someone very happy, very soon! 

@ everyone declining i love and appreciate u guys i wish i could bake u cookies kiss kiss <3 yall deserve the world

Hi all: I have just declined my offer as well. Hoping this makes someone's day very soon! Good luck everyone!  

Posted Images

I am wondering if we can actually tell our number in the waitlist by looking at the original message in our waitlist email. Like do people have Content-Transfer-Encoding: base# at the bottom of their original email? I am thinking maybe that number corresponds to where we are in the waitlist? My number seems to correspond..... I don't know if thats a coincident tho. 


 
Link to post
Share on other sites
15 minutes ago, Peace said:

I am wondering if we can actually tell our number in the waitlist by looking at the original message in our waitlist email. Like do people have Content-Transfer-Encoding: base# at the bottom of their original email? I am thinking maybe that number corresponds to where we are in the waitlist? My number seems to correspond..... I don't know if thats a coincident tho.

I just checked and I have that too. My number is fairly close to where I am on the spreadsheet. I'm curious to see if it's similar for others. You could definitely be on to something!

Link to post
Share on other sites
31 minutes ago, Peace said:

I am wondering if we can actually tell our number in the waitlist by looking at the original message in our waitlist email. Like do people have Content-Transfer-Encoding: base# at the bottom of their original email? I am thinking maybe that number corresponds to where we are in the waitlist? My number seems to correspond..... I don't know if thats a coincident tho. 


 

I think mine corresponds as well!

Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, here4mydaughter said:

Having been through this Ottawa Waitlist with my daughter in prior years, I can offer some perspective.

It looks like Bin 1 is only two applicants (redblue1234 & blackpanther3).

Bin 2 starts with either hellolettuce118 or no account (it's not clear).

The top 3 were not skipped and are probably next on the list.

There was one person skipped last year but to set everyone's mind at ease, it was because the waitlist position was conditional.  That person had to supply more information to get an offer and did not do so.  We may never know what information wasn't provided that was requested.

My suggestion would be to re-order applicants on the spreadsheet to accurately reflect their position on the spreadsheet for the benefit of everyone waiting and for waitlisters in a future year.

Hope this information helps.

I'm just glad I don't have to go through this stress of wondering whether my daughter will get an offer this year as she got a number of offers. (finally!)

Good luck to all of you in getting an offer!

Mine isnt too accurate according to the spreadsheet, im like around line 46 on the excel but my base number is 64??

Link to post
Share on other sites
32 minutes ago, Peace said:

I am wondering if we can actually tell our number in the waitlist by looking at the original message in our waitlist email. Like do people have Content-Transfer-Encoding: base# at the bottom of their original email? I am thinking maybe that number corresponds to where we are in the waitlist? My number seems to correspond..... I don't know if thats a coincident tho. 




 

mine doesnt align at all, im much higher on our waitlist 

Edit: I have base 64 but I'm about 15 on the waitlist

Link to post
Share on other sites

I was surprised at the amount of personal messages I got with my last post.

So I'm going to tell you what I have come up with.

If you don't want to know, don't look at the rest of this message.

This analysis is all based on assumptions such as - percentage of original offers that will be declined, percentage of students that post their stats,  percentage of waitlist offers that will be declined, whether someone will actually inform the group if they decline their Ottawa waitlist offer etc.

It's impossible to know all this information with exact certainty so this is a very educated guess based on past waitlist history for Ottawa.

The student I land on for a 50% chance of getting an offer is chocobun.

For every spot you are earlier than chocobun's timestamp, add 5%. (ie 55% chance for justabean)

For every spot you are below chocobun's time stamp, subtract 5%.

For everyone with a timestamp of 9:05 or earlier, you are very likely to get an offer.

For everyone with a timestamp of 9:09 and later, sorry to say but it would be a shock if you got an offer.

The cutoff will almost certainly be somewhere in the 7:07's but impossible to say exactly where.

The hardest thing I had to do last year was tell my daughter she was not going to get an offer (and unfortunately she didn't) but at least she knew and could plan for next cycle.

PS - Don't hunt me down and kill me if I am wrong but this is what the numbers say.

Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, here4mydaughter said:

I was surprised at the amount of personal messages I got with my last post.

So I'm going to tell you what I have come up with.

If you don't want to know, don't look at the rest of this message.

This analysis is all based on assumptions such as - percentage of original offers that will be declined, percentage of students that post their stats,  percentage of waitlist offers that will be declined, whether someone will actually inform the group if they decline their Ottawa waitlist offer etc.

It's impossible to know all this information with exact certainty so this is a very educated guess based on past waitlist history for Ottawa.

The student I land on for a 50% chance of getting an offer is chocobun.

For every spot you are earlier than chocobun's timestamp, add 5%. (ie 55% chance for justabean)

For every spot you are below chocobun's time stamp, subtract 5%.

For everyone with a timestamp of 9:05 or earlier, you are very likely to get an offer.

For everyone with a timestamp of 9:09 and later, sorry to say but it would be a shock if you got an offer.

The cutoff will almost certainly be somewhere in the 7:07's but impossible to say exactly where.

The hardest thing I had to do last year was tell my daughter she was not going to get an offer (and unfortunately she didn't) but at least she knew and could plan for next cycle.

PS - Don't hunt me down and kill me if I am wrong but this is what the numbers say.

I saw somewhere on this forum someone said the minute is more accurate in terms of ranking rather than the exact second. Does that mean if we also got our email at 9:07, we have around 50% likelihood? Or do you believe the exact second puts you at a 5% drop below chocobun?

Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, RebeccaE said:

I saw somewhere on this forum someone said the minute is more accurate in terms of ranking rather than the exact second. Does that mean if we also got our email at 9:07, we have around 50% likelihood? Or do you believe the exact second puts you at a 5% drop below chocobun?

The order is determined by the exact minute and second of the creation time.  Some students may post their creation time while some others may post their receive time because they can't find or don't know how to find the creation time.  That is why you may see some with a later time receive an offer before an earlier time.  They have posted the wrong time.  The order of offers on the spreadsheet is only as accurate as the time provided which may be incorrect. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, here4mydaughter said:

I was surprised at the amount of personal messages I got with my last post.

So I'm going to tell you what I have come up with.

If you don't want to know, don't look at the rest of this message.

This analysis is all based on assumptions such as - percentage of original offers that will be declined, percentage of students that post their stats,  percentage of waitlist offers that will be declined, whether someone will actually inform the group if they decline their Ottawa waitlist offer etc.

It's impossible to know all this information with exact certainty so this is a very educated guess based on past waitlist history for Ottawa.

The student I land on for a 50% chance of getting an offer is chocobun.

For every spot you are earlier than chocobun's timestamp, add 5%. (ie 55% chance for justabean)

For every spot you are below chocobun's time stamp, subtract 5%.

For everyone with a timestamp of 9:05 or earlier, you are very likely to get an offer.

For everyone with a timestamp of 9:09 and later, sorry to say but it would be a shock if you got an offer.

The cutoff will almost certainly be somewhere in the 7:07's but impossible to say exactly where.

The hardest thing I had to do last year was tell my daughter she was not going to get an offer (and unfortunately she didn't) but at least she knew and could plan for next cycle.

PS - Don't hunt me down and kill me if I am wrong but this is what the numbers say.

While this is well thought out, but its important to remember that the 2020 cycle was a mess and had the lowest waitlist movements we have seen yet. Whether this year will have similar movement is tough to say. But with past numbers as high as 90 people declining offers to ottawa, i 'd find it hard to believe the waitlist would only move to around the 60th spot or so. I admire the theory, but with the uncertainty of previous years its anyone's guess how far it will go.

187236908_301374134814575_7840021277195255401_n.png

Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, Pakoon said:

While this is well thought out, but its important to remember that the 2020 cycle was a mess and had the lowest waitlist movements we have seen yet. Whether this year will have similar movement is tough to say. But with past numbers as high as 90 people declining offers to ottawa, i 'd find it hard to believe the waitlist would only move to around the 60th spot or so. I admire the theory, but with the uncertainty of previous years its anyone's guess how far it will go.

187236908_301374134814575_7840021277195255401_n.png

You have to keep in mind two things.

The statistics you provide are for both the french and english stream and the spreadsheet is only for the english stream.

Secondly, the spreadsheet does not reflect all the english waitlisted applicants.  There are many that will not post their stats.  Either they don't have an id or do not want to share their information.  I do not know that percentage but I built an estimation into my calculation.

Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, here4mydaughter said:

You have to keep in mind two things.

The statistics you provide are for both the french and english stream and the spreadsheet is only for the english stream.

Secondly, the spreadsheet does not reflect all the english waitlisted applicants.  There are many that will not post their stats.  Either they don't have an id or do not want to share their information.  I do not know that percentage but I built an estimation into my calculation.

Exactly my point! No one knows how many people did not post their stats, it could be 100 or it could be comprehensive, we know the cap is around ~450 people, if we add both the lists we have (English and French) as well as the total offers they initially send (~160) and straight up rejections, we can assume it doesn't leave much room for many non reported spots. While an estimation is great, It's best to see how this plays out and that last year's cycle may not be representative of this one at all.

Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, Pakoon said:

Exactly my point! No one knows how many people did not post their stats, it could be 100 or it could be comprehensive, we know the cap is around ~450 people, if we add both the lists we have (English and French) as well as the total offers they initially send (~160) and straight up rejections, we can assume it doesn't leave much room for many non reported spots. While an estimation is great, It's best to see how this plays out and that last year's cycle may not be representative of this one at all.

I also agree! I think its also important to look at the stats from the past 5 years and it seems like it always went through at least one cycle of 4.0- low 3.9s. I think there is more reporting this year as the time stamp theory was seen to pretty much work last year and people are more inclined to post. I am not sure where @here4mydaughtergot the percentages but in my opinion taking into consideration the data from the previous years and even last year (where there was supposedly less movement), we should probably get through everyone in "Bin 1." I could be wrong, but this is my speculation based on previous years. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...