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UOttawa Medical School Accepted/Waitlist 2021


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Just to add my two cents. The analysis @here4mydaughtermakes is logical and could very likely be true. However, there are some reasons for more optimism. Because the sample size between last year and this year is disparate, I have been comparing by "blocks". Last year, block 1 likely got their acceptances on May 19. Only two people reported it last year however, while 5 reported it this year (also on May 19). Block 2 last year got their offers on May 21. Only three people reported it last year, but based on what i saw from Block 1 this year, I expect at least 6 more people to get in (hopefully tomorrow?). This would clear out most of the 3.99s this year. 

Then last year, may 26 was the day of the deadline and we saw Big Wave 1 where 4 people got in off the spreadsheet. This year I expect 7-10 to get off our spreadsheet on deadline day. This would in my prediction clear out most of the 3.97s. Then back to last year, May 28 was the peak in terms of waves where 8 people got off the spreadsheet. i think we will see a similar number this time around, so that would take us to Ethicsforbreakfast (which is where @here4mydaughterdesignated as the 100% chance cutoff). 

However, we still have a couple of June waves to go through, although these will be much more unpredictable and smaller. This is where I think your chances won't necessarily be 100% but could still be high. Four people got in June 2 last year, and I predict about 5-6 this year. At this point, we would be somewhere in the 43-45 section of the spreadsheet.

Now after this point is where I think movement will heavily depend on factors like how big the waitlist movement is in relation to last year. If the predictions are true and the waitlist will be 10+ people more this year, I could very well see most if not all of Bin 1 clearing. If it is similar to last year, i would likely see it cutoff in the 9:07s as @here4mydaughtersays. 

I honestly think people 3.98+ have been reporting their data much more extensively than last year. Whereas from the middle onwards, the proportions in each GPA are similar to last year. The fact that the waitlist moved 5 people off the spreadsheet a week before the deadline is a reason to be optimistic that the waitlist will move greatly this year. 

So I would remain hopeful even if you are in the 9;07s. A much clearer picture should emerge in the days after. 

 

EDIT: To clarify, the 100% chances I mention are just theoretical based on the time stamp theory. This doesn't account for if the theory will deviate at some points, or if people will get skipped. I assure you even though I am "safe" as per @here4mydaughter, I still feel very uncertain.

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Hi everyone!!    After much contemplation I’ve decided to decline my offer. Hopefully this news makes someone very happy, very soon! 

@ everyone declining i love and appreciate u guys i wish i could bake u cookies kiss kiss <3 yall deserve the world

Hi all: I have just declined my offer as well. Hoping this makes someone's day very soon! Good luck everyone!  

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I see where you guys are coming from. I guess my perspective on this whole thing is if you look at the last gpa accepted in each year tracing all the way back to 2017, people with low 3.9s have been accepted. Last year, it even went as low as 3.89 and stopped right before the next 4.0 rotation ( when it was expected to be less movement last year). So if the trend follows, shouldn't everyone before next 4.0 rotation (i.e. everyone in Bin1) be expected to receive an offer? 

I think because of the more reporting this year bin 1 seems extremely large, but I would expect the trends to stay pretty much the same since 2016/2017. 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSXMVQM9MGSXpiBYtEqiPDvYAeua_HOAY2B5xlnTlo1Qxkr2iSz4SAURYgvTleEdr7NRXozFJu_nMc9/pubhtml#

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why does it seem theres so many more high gpas (>3.96) this year though, i thought it might be that more people are reporting in general this year but it seems the # of entries is roughly the same as last years ?? do you think the change in gpa calculation is behind that? 

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I seem to be too far down to receive an offer before I have to accept another one (I did apply through SAI, so I don’t know if I’m in another stream?)

But either way, I will be removing myself from the waitlist as of tomorrow :)

I was in all of your shoes last year and I know it’s not easy. As I said in another post, I wish I had known what life had in store for me this year! Best of luck to everyone and keep your head up :wub:

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1 hour ago, chocobun said:

why does it seem theres so many more high gpas (>3.96) this year though, i thought it might be that more people are reporting in general this year but it seems the # of entries is roughly the same as last years ?? do you think the change in gpa calculation is behind that? 

My thought is that there was a bigger bin 1 (aka more people got the top interview score this year -hence the few left who got accepted yesterday). I’m guessing that it is usually smaller and they take people from the top score and then some 4.0-3.99s from the second score (which is bin 1 on the waitlist). 
 

I just find it hard for “more reporting” to be the entire picture because last year there was 1 person (maybe 2) with a 3.99 on the waitlist and I don’t remember seeing anyone saying they got a 4.0. I DO think that more people reported this year though :)

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34 minutes ago, ksjdflkhei said:

My thought is that there was a bigger bin 1 (aka more people got the top interview score this year -hence the few left who got accepted yesterday). I’m guessing that it is usually smaller and they take people from the top score and then some 4.0-3.99s from the second score (which is bin 1 on the waitlist). 
 

I just find it hard for “more reporting” to be the entire picture because last year there was 1 person (maybe 2) with a 3.99 on the waitlist and I don’t remember seeing anyone saying they got a 4.0. I DO think that more people reported this year though :)

omg i’ve been wondering why bin 1 seemed so big and why there were so many higher gpas this year relative to last year (even when keeping more reporting in mind) and this theory makes a lot of sense imo!!! :0

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"Age, gender, race, religion and socio-economic status play no part in the selection process, unless it is specified in the criteria for designated seats."-from the FAQ

Yes, bilingualism is I believe the last tiebreaker. However, it should rarely come into effect because GPA (to three decimal places) is very hard to tie. We see on the spreadsheet that a lot of people have the same GPAs. However, most are rounding it. I rounded mine. 

 
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